ForetellerForeteller
DM
Dmau…Fetwrank #77
sportscrypto
score
53
Follow
+82%
ROI · 7d
$50
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+14.3¢
Edge, worst case
-23.3¢
Closing line value
-10.7¢
size-weighted edge +34.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$50
crypto
-$0.60
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+133% · +$19
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$43143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$20147h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$33168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.43$14173h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$18218h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired231h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.60231h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.81$15231h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$17237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.69$12240h

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