ForetellerForeteller
DN
Dn2s…SXWZrank #42
cryptoothersports
score
54
Follow
+1%
ROI · 7d
$37
Profit · 7d
207
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$57 @ 0.70
YESESP wins WC26
$18 @ 0.55
Forecasting skill · all-time134 scored calls
Forecast score
63
Avg edge / share
+8.7¢
Edge, worst case
+2.6¢
Closing line value
+2.4¢
crypto 78 · 109 callsother 1 · 21 callssize-weighted edge +6.7¢sizing discipline -0.0450% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$887
sports
+$54
other
+$10
Current streak
60 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1510% · +$59
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$16141h
bought@0.63$10141h
redeemed@0.00expired141h
bought@0.31$3141h
redeemed@0.00expired141h
bought@0.25$3141h
redeemed@1.00+$12141h
bought@0.85$10141h
redeemed@0.00expired141h
bought@0.24$3141h

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