ForetellerForeteller
DS
DsBT…dY6Erank #134
crypto
score
52
Follow
-58%
ROI · 7d
-$12
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d12 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-49.6¢
Edge, worst case
-94.4¢
Closing line value
-29.4¢
crypto 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -64.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$12
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+540% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2157h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.85157h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.39157h
boughtBTC Up@0.24$0.18157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.12$0.27157h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.48158h
boughtBTC Up@0.29$0.28158h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired158h
boughtBTC Up@0.09$0.18158h

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