ForetellerForeteller
DW
DwCk…WQ3erank #874
cryptosports
score
42
Follow
-55%
ROI · 7d
-$432
Profit · 7d
24
Markets
Performance · 7d24 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time17 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-18.8¢
Edge, worst case
-32.9¢
Closing line value
-28.2¢
crypto 0 · 16 callssize-weighted edge -45.9¢sizing discipline -0.47

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$18
crypto
-$414
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+184% · +$33
Recent activity
boughtBTC Up@0.32$0.46190h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$2204h
boughtBTC Up@0.32$0.96204h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.96210h
boughtBTC Up@0.77$0.74210h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.74210h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$0.73210h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired210h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.88210h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.96210h

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