ForetellerForeteller
E2
E2Bk…aF8jrank #532
cryptosports
score
47
Follow
0%
ROI · 7d
-$5
Profit · 7d
87
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time76 scored calls
Forecast score
9
Avg edge / share
-2.9¢
Edge, worst case
-11.3¢
Closing line value
-3.0¢
crypto 9 · 76 callssize-weighted edge -5.9¢sizing discipline -0.040% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$781
sports
+$5
Current streak
5 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+760% · +$8
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$14174h
boughtBTC Up@0.86$12175h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$4175h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$17175h
boughtBTC Up@0.76$13175h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
boughtBTC Up@0.52$17175h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$69176h
boughtBTC Up@0.84$58176h

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