ForetellerForeteller
E8
E8gR…FZRFrank #1057
cryptosports
score
34
Follow
-88%
ROI · 7d
-$1.0k
Profit · 7d
13
Markets
Performance · 7d14 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time11 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-67.3¢
Edge, worst case
-82.8¢
Closing line value
-49.4¢
crypto 0 · 10 callssize-weighted edge -61.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$5
crypto
-$1.0k
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+111% · +$51
Recent activity
soldENG wins WC26@0.21+$0.70203h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired203h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$37203h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired204h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$733204h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$10204h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired204h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$12204h
soldBTC Up@0.95+$97204h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$46204h

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