ForetellerForeteller
E9
E9Rp…KNZGrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+57%
ROI · 7d
$16
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
98
Avg edge / share
+33.9¢
Edge, worst case
+19.6¢
Closing line value
+13.3¢
sports 98 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +38.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$16
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$7
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.54$5163h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$11168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$5177h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$24237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$4251h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$7254h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$5264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$4285h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$4287h

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