ForetellerForeteller
EF
EFBY…myGMrank #623
othersports
score
46
Follow
-78%
ROI · 7d
-$1.1k
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-26.3¢
Edge, worst case
-67.4¢
Closing line value
-25.3¢
size-weighted edge -26.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$8
sports
-$1.1k
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
+41% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$7148h
bought@0.71$5149h
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.01$7149h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired165h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.01$20165h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.81$2165h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.50$975165h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.38$5172h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.38$5172h

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