ForetellerForeteller
EF
EFn4…idtErank #1072
cryptosports
score
32
Follow
-60%
ROI · 7d
-$26
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d12 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-34.2¢
Edge, worst case
-61.1¢
Closing line value
-18.5¢
crypto 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -24.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$6
crypto
-$20
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+35% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired210h
boughtBTC Up@0.21$0.27210h
soldAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.12+$0.51220h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.34$1221h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.00expired222h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.80$9222h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired229h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$0.18229h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$9234h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.77$7259h

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