ForetellerForeteller
EK
EKGM…Fdirrank #874
cryptosportsother
score
42
Follow
-4%
ROI · 7d
-$81
Profit · 7d
69
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time45 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
-10.6¢
Edge, worst case
-19.2¢
Closing line value
-19.6¢
sports 36 · 5 callscrypto 1 · 37 callssize-weighted edge +2.0¢sizing discipline +0.4067% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$76
sports
+$46
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+151% · +$15
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired162h
boughtBTC Up@0.58$5162h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$10162h
boughtBTC Up@0.98$10162h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$11162h
boughtBTC Up@0.92$10162h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$86162h
boughtBTC Up@0.93$80162h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$82168h
boughtBTC Up@0.91$75168h

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