ForetellerForeteller
EV
EVjF…jx4mrank #134
cryptoothersports
score
52
Follow
-42%
ROI · 7d
-$414
Profit · 7d
111
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time47 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-14.1¢
Edge, worst case
-22.9¢
Closing line value
-4.9¢
crypto 1 · 35 callsother 0 · 11 callssize-weighted edge -27.1¢sizing discipline -0.270% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$103
other
+$11
sports
-$0.63
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+4900% · +$47
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
redeemed@0.00expired144h
bought@0.99$3144h
sold@0.12+$0.60144h
bought@0.99$5144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.01$9144h
soldARG wins WC26@0.42+$49144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.07$2144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.04$2144h
soldENG wins WC26@0.02+$3144h

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