ForetellerForeteller
EE
EeVh…nMSbrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+83%
ROI · 7d
$179
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YES
$241 @ 0.63
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
11
Avg edge / share
+15.9¢
Edge, worst case
-10.4¢
Closing line value
-0.8¢
sports 11 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +34.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$179
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$48
Recent activity
bought@0.63$151143h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$161143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$73168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$80168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.39$8170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$33229h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$71237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$36263h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$46264h

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