ForetellerForeteller
EO
Eoon…8WGArank #951
cryptosportsother
score
40
Follow
-56%
ROI · 7d
-$499
Profit · 7d
32
Markets
Performance · 7d32 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$0.10 @ 444.13
Forecasting skill · all-time17 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-20.3¢
Edge, worst case
-40.0¢
Closing line value
-5.9¢
crypto 0 · 12 callssize-weighted edge -33.2¢sizing discipline -0.340% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$9
sports
-$193
crypto
-$297
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+242% · +$8
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.41$9143h
soldARG wins WC26@0.11+$1145h
soldARG wins WC26@0.12+$69146h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$25161h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$91161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired168h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.09$13169h

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