ForetellerForeteller
ER
ErnU…CLMmrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+20%
ROI · 7d
$16
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
4
Avg edge / share
+7.5¢
Edge, worst case
-15.7¢
Closing line value
-9.5¢
sports 4 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +3.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$16
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+105% · +$16
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$31143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$15167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$16168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.92$15169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$6170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$7193h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$19233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$7237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.72$5240h

Powered by Fortel