ForetellerForeteller
ES
EsZh…9emLrank #42
sportscrypto
score
54
Follow
+8%
ROI · 7d
$0.87
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d13 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+3.2¢
Edge, worst case
-23.0¢
Closing line value
-1.6¢
size-weighted edge -2.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$0.70
sports
+$0.17
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+119% · +$0.47
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1143h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$0.50146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.56$0.50147h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.50165h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$0.60166h
boughtBTC Up@1.00$0.50166h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$0.87168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.46$0.40171h

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