ForetellerForeteller
EY
EyLq…syErrank #951
cryptosportsother
score
40
Follow
-42%
ROI · 7d
-$185
Profit · 7d
28
Markets
Performance · 7d28 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time23 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-31.8¢
Edge, worst case
-48.2¢
Closing line value
-26.3¢
crypto 0 · 16 callssize-weighted edge -49.2¢sizing discipline -0.430% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$6
sports
-$0.28
crypto
-$191
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$14
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired146h
bought@0.99$6146h
sold@0.91+$21152h
bought@0.39$9152h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$23169h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$19169h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$10169h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired170h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$10170h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired170h

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