ForetellerForeteller
F1
F1eJ…kMhn
sports
score
86
Follow
+129%
ROI · 7d
$318
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$677 @ 0.95
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
95
Avg edge / share
+56.2¢
Edge, worst case
+15.1¢
Closing line value
-42.8¢
size-weighted edge +56.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$318
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$318
Recent activity
soldESP wins WC26@0.58+$280168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$565169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.45$45171h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.45$68171h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.23$44171h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.90$877172h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.43$135172h

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