ForetellerForeteller
FE
FEC6…B4rurank #261
cryptosportsother
score
50
Follow
-35%
ROI · 7d
-$346
Profit · 7d
41
Markets
Performance · 7d41 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time27 scored calls
Forecast score
13
Avg edge / share
+2.5¢
Edge, worst case
-9.3¢
Closing line value
+15.8¢
crypto 12 · 22 callssports 1 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -14.6¢sizing discipline -0.2967% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$1
crypto
-$171
sports
-$174
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+884% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired203h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$17203h
soldBTC Up@0.33+$0.84204h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1204h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$4216h
boughtBTC Up@0.05$0.37216h
redeemedNOR wins WC26@0.00expired216h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired217h
boughtBTC Up@0.05$0.45217h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired221h

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