ForetellerForeteller
FM
FMXe…oVW2rank #829
cryptoother
score
43
Follow
-35%
ROI · 7d
-$1.1k
Profit · 7d
22
Markets
Performance · 7d25 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-34.0¢
Edge, worst case
-52.8¢
Closing line value
-6.9¢
other 0 · 5 callscrypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -46.7¢0% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$734
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+174% · +$218
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired166h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$112166h
soldBTC Up@0.69+$98166h
boughtBTC Up@0.43$62166h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired166h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired166h
boughtBTC Up@0.48$415166h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$138166h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$284166h
boughtBTC Up@0.46$111166h

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