ForetellerForeteller
FN
FNby…vegPrank #134
cryptosportsother
score
52
Follow
-10%
ROI · 7d
-$809
Profit · 7d
60
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time42 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-17.2¢
Edge, worst case
-27.5¢
Closing line value
-7.9¢
crypto 0 · 36 callssports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -20.4¢sizing discipline -0.060% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$602
crypto
+$31
other
-$77
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1604% · +$72
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.50+$19199h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$19199h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.39+$21199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.89$83199h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$48199h
boughtBTC Up@0.84$80199h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$48199h
boughtBTC Up@0.75$51200h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$19200h

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