ForetellerForeteller
FW
FWUY…vmvUrank #920
crypto
score
41
Follow
-51%
ROI · 7d
-$1.2k
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-36.1¢
Edge, worst case
-65.0¢
Closing line value
-30.1¢
crypto 0 · 9 callssize-weighted edge -34.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$1.2k
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+78% · +$229
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired174h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$169174h
boughtBTC Up@0.46$19174h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired174h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$63175h
boughtBTC Up@0.54$95175h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$27175h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$130175h
boughtBTC Up@0.58$23175h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$27175h

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