ForetellerForeteller
FD
FdbG…HHUWrank #432
cryptosports
score
48
Follow
-14%
ROI · 7d
-$458
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-10.5¢
Edge, worst case
-30.2¢
Closing line value
-23.3¢
size-weighted edge -9.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$70
crypto
-$389
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+63% · +$356
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.89+$30194h
soldBTC Up@0.60+$888194h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$561194h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$815264h
boughtBTC Up@0.87$710264h
redeemedESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.00expired264h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$613265h
boughtBTC Up@0.93$571265h
soldBTC Up@0.25+$113265h
boughtBTC Up@0.62$279265h

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