ForetellerForeteller
FH
Fh4w…5GD5rank #920
cryptoother
score
41
Follow
+1%
ROI · 7d
$0.59
Profit · 7d
18
Markets
Performance · 7d19 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time10 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-30.4¢
Edge, worst case
-61.1¢
Closing line value
-46.5¢
crypto 0 · 9 callssize-weighted edge -22.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$2
other
-$0.20
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$19
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired144h
bought@0.06$0.20144h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$39163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$19163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.97212h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$0.96212h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired212h
boughtBTC Up@0.51$0.19212h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1223h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.55223h

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