ForetellerForeteller
FP
FptB…qYzirank #778
sportsother
score
44
Follow
-44%
ROI · 7d
-$458
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
54
Avg edge / share
+15.8¢
Edge, worst case
+0.8¢
Closing line value
-34.2¢
size-weighted edge +9.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$86
sports
-$372
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
ARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)
+33% · +$23
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
soldENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.08+$45145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.78$418145h
redeemed@0.00expired147h
bought@0.51$86147h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$431169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.96$23169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.95$214169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.95$6169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.92$32169h

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