ForetellerForeteller
G1
G1YS…3fGn
other
score
67
Follow
+77%
ROI · 7d
$127
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
100
Avg edge / share
+44.0¢
Edge, worst case
+34.1¢
Closing line value
+43.0¢
size-weighted edge +39.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$127
Current streak
4 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$45
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$105168h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$71168h
soldBTC Up@1.00+$91169h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$45169h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$63169h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$31169h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$34169h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$17169h

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