ForetellerForeteller
GC
GCQe…DYWTrank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-60%
ROI · 7d
-$52
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-18.7¢
Edge, worst case
-81.6¢
Closing line value
-42.7¢
size-weighted edge -70.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$52
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+166% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired213h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$16213h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired213h
boughtBTC Up@0.07$4213h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired213h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2213h
soldBTC Up@0.60+$11214h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$19214h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$12214h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$6214h

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