ForetellerForeteller
GE
GEGX…A1r4
sports
score
52
Follow
+42%
ROI · 7d
$942
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-60.0¢
Edge, worst case
-101.1¢
Closing line value
-59.0¢
size-weighted edge -60.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$942
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)
+184% · +$17
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$176182h
soldNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$3.2k229h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.65$2.1k247h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.00expired263h
soldESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.27+$26266h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.10$9267h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired287h
redeemedARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@0.00expired339h
soldPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.50+$179361h

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