ForetellerForeteller
GE
GENv…MZqZ
sports
score
38
Follow
-33%
ROI · 7d
-$40
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$3.2k @ 0.72
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-12.0¢
Edge, worst case
-53.1¢
Closing line value
+38.0¢
size-weighted edge -12.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$40
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
boughtPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.72$2.3k375h
soldMAR wins WC26@0.03+$80396h
redeemedCAN vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@1.00+$3.2k411h
boughtCAN vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.78$2.5k420h
boughtMAR wins WC26@0.04$120422h

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