ForetellerForeteller
GV
GV8q…9moirank #707
crypto
score
45
Follow
-23%
ROI · 7d
-$818
Profit · 7d
31
Markets
Performance · 7d32 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time32 scored calls
Forecast score
16
Avg edge / share
+3.4¢
Edge, worst case
-8.2¢
Closing line value
+4.2¢
crypto 16 · 32 callssize-weighted edge +1.3¢sizing discipline -0.0767% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$0.00
crypto
-$818
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+200% · +$68
Recent activity
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired165h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired185h
boughtBTC Up@0.48$132185h
boughtBTC Up@0.77$50185h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired185h
boughtBTC Up@0.29$50185h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$80185h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired185h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$20185h
boughtBTC Up@0.11$50185h

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