ForetellerForeteller
GW
GWzn…qPpx
other
score
48
Follow
-7%
ROI · 7d
-$4
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-40.7¢
Edge, worst case
-85.4¢
Closing line value
-15.2¢
size-weighted edge -54.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$4
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+75% · +$26
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h
boughtBTC Up@0.05$2161h
boughtBTC Up@0.36$6161h
soldBTC Up@0.70+$61161h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$15161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$20161h
boughtBTC Up@0.46$5161h
boughtBTC Up@0.72$9161h
boughtBTC Up@0.84$9161h

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