ForetellerForeteller
GJ
GjKw…Ur1Zrank #432
sports
score
48
Follow
+29%
ROI · 7d
$559
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$1.8k @ 0.50
YESARG wins WC26
$1.1k @ 0.43
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+9.2¢
Edge, worst case
-20.0¢
Closing line value
+8.6¢
size-weighted edge +22.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$559
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+58% · +$328
Recent activity
boughtARG wins WC26@0.43$468144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.93+$643145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.42$93145h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46+$250147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$377160h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.50$892169h
soldFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.08+$7170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.38$33171h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.62+$142171h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$94193h

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