ForetellerForeteller
GN
GnvD…tfdXrank #134
crypto
score
52
Follow
-45%
ROI · 7d
-$20
Profit · 7d
10
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-31.4¢
Edge, worst case
-76.7¢
Closing line value
-32.0¢
crypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -52.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$20
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1322% · +$12
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2280h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$2280h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired298h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$5298h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired298h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$5299h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired299h
boughtBTC Up@0.08$0.90299h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired300h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$4300h

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