ForetellerForeteller
GW
GwLE…hsT2
sports
score
46
Follow
-1%
ROI · 7d
-$9
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-37.2¢
Edge, worst case
-82.5¢
Closing line value
-11.7¢
size-weighted edge -59.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$9
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
NOR wins WC26
+10% · +$80
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.10$45169h
soldNOR wins WC26@0.07+$207240h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.06$54241h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.06$10242h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.06$108244h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.06$14248h
soldESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.04+$7265h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.32$51265h
soldNOR wins WC26@0.06+$137267h

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