ForetellerForeteller
H1
H1ck…dEStrank #134
cryptoothersports
score
52
Follow
+1%
ROI · 7d
$612
Profit · 7d
322
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
NO
$109 @ 0.43
Forecasting skill · all-time124 scored calls
Forecast score
55
Avg edge / share
+7.9¢
Edge, worst case
+1.0¢
Closing line value
-1.2¢
crypto 66 · 99 callsother 2 · 22 callssize-weighted edge +12.1¢sizing discipline +0.1375% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$7.2k
other
+$2.5k
Current streak
60 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1553% · +$1.1k
Recent activity
bought@0.43$47141h
redeemed@0.97+$82141h
bought@0.99$83141h
redeemed@1.00+$95141h
redeemed@1.00+$0.05141h
bought@0.50$47141h
sold@0.95+$85141h
bought@0.83$75141h
sold@0.41+$11141h
bought@0.99$27141h

Powered by Fortel