ForetellerForeteller
H3
H3Y2…QT3drank #1065
cryptosports
score
33
Follow
-14%
ROI · 7d
-$3.5k
Profit · 7d
65
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time45 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-17.8¢
Edge, worst case
-25.1¢
Closing line value
+1.2¢
crypto 0 · 41 callssize-weighted edge -9.9¢sizing discipline +0.160% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$2.8k
crypto
-$2.2k
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+315% · +$1.5k
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2.6k144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$1.2k155h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.58$11172h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired180h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$2180h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$31180h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$33180h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired180h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$0.89180h

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