ForetellerForeteller
H6
H6CU…jPFt
sports
score
47
Follow
-86%
ROI · 7d
-$983
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$4.5k @ 0.68
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-60.1¢
Edge, worst case
-101.3¢
Closing line value
-59.1¢
size-weighted edge -60.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$144
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+104% · +$976
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.94+$1.9k145h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.68$3.1k169h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$940169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$955224h
soldFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.90+$152288h
soldFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.19+$155289h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$183307h

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