ForetellerForeteller
HN
HNQL…x86Q
crypto
score
50
Follow
-2%
ROI · 7d
-$0.81
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+16.7¢
Edge, worst case
-29.3¢
Closing line value
-0.0¢
size-weighted edge +34.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$0.81
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$8
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired176h
boughtBTC Up@0.39$3176h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired177h
boughtBTC Up@0.94$2197h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$7197h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$7197h
soldBTC Up@0.42+$10197h
boughtBTC Up@0.58$14197h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$16197h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8197h

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