ForetellerForeteller
HP
HPbn…LYh4
crypto
score
59
Follow
+134%
ROI · 7d
$29
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
100
Avg edge / share
+45.8¢
Edge, worst case
+31.9¢
Closing line value
+32.6¢
size-weighted edge +53.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$29
Current streak
4 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+179% · +$25
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.79190h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$0.53190h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$9198h
boughtBTC Up@0.70$6199h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2205h
boughtBTC Up@0.44$0.93205h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$39206h
boughtBTC Up@0.36$14207h

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