ForetellerForeteller
HQ
HQWy…5dCBrank #42
cryptosports
score
54
Follow
-32%
ROI · 7d
-$45
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-39.5¢
Edge, worst case
-66.0¢
Closing line value
-22.6¢
crypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -46.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$9
crypto
-$36
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+9900% · +$35
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.13$9169h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired287h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4288h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired288h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$11288h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired298h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$35298h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired298h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$14298h

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