ForetellerForeteller
HU
HUSL…3ZMarank #261
cryptosports
score
50
Follow
-73%
ROI · 7d
-$1.4k
Profit · 7d
15
Markets
Performance · 7d15 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$215 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-8.2¢
Edge, worst case
-29.1¢
Closing line value
-9.9¢
crypto 0 · 12 callssize-weighted edge -31.8¢sizing discipline -0.24

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$86
sports
-$1.3k
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+235% · +$12
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$385184h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.32$184242h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.34$37242h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.37$378247h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired263h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired263h
boughtBTC Up@0.51$22263h
boughtBTC Up@0.59$10263h

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