ForetellerForeteller
HZ
HZW9…c6nnrank #77
sportscrypto
score
53
Follow
+13%
ROI · 7d
$144
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+2.1¢
Edge, worst case
-25.3¢
Closing line value
-16.6¢
size-weighted edge +10.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$750
crypto
+$12
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+256% · +$49
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$68143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.28$19144h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$19163h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired163h
boughtBTC Up@0.54$10163h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$10163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$20163h
boughtBTC Up@0.66$13163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$13163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$7163h

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