ForetellerForeteller
HA
Ha1P…hdedrank #342
sports
score
49
Follow
0%
ROI · 7d
-$763
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$126.6k @ 0.69
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
10
Avg edge / share
+9.7¢
Edge, worst case
-11.1¢
Closing line value
+9.0¢
sports 10 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +14.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$763
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+45% · +$13.1k
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$4.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$2.0k148h

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