ForetellerForeteller
HC
Hc27…9JSdrank #77
cryptoothersports
score
53
Follow
-2%
ROI · 7d
-$4
Profit · 7d
80
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time65 scored calls
Forecast score
22
Avg edge / share
+2.0¢
Edge, worst case
-6.2¢
Closing line value
-10.1¢
crypto 24 · 63 callssize-weighted edge +1.7¢sizing discipline -0.0133% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$58
sports
+$0.87
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+158% · +$7
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.10169h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.05169h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.07171h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.04172h
soldBTC Up@1.00+$0.16172h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired172h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.08172h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.25172h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.87172h

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