ForetellerForeteller
HC
HcoK…fAEyrank #1109
cryptoother
score
25
Follow
-78%
ROI · 7d
-$33
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-30.6¢
Edge, worst case
-60.1¢
Closing line value
-9.5¢
size-weighted edge -35.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$3
crypto
-$30
Current streak
10 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired235h
boughtConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.30$3249h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired281h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired303h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired303h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired321h
soldBTC Up@0.57+$9321h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$16321h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired321h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$2321h

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