ForetellerForeteller
HD
HdSb…1CSPrank #42
cryptosportsother
score
54
Follow
-1%
ROI · 7d
-$0.63
Profit · 7d
25
Markets
Performance · 7d25 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-9.0¢
Edge, worst case
-28.9¢
Closing line value
-17.3¢
crypto 0 · 14 callssize-weighted edge -25.1¢sizing discipline -0.57

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$3
crypto
-$3
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+9900% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired165h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.75165h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.72165h
boughtBTC Up@0.56$0.40165h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$0.88168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.42$0.37175h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.25176h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.12176h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.17176h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$0.08176h

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