ForetellerForeteller
HD
HdUp…oo21
other
score
19
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$683
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-29.7¢
Edge, worst case
-70.9¢
Closing line value
-28.7¢
size-weighted edge -29.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$683
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired234h
boughtConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.30$683250h

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