ForetellerForeteller
HE
HeaU…dDmF
sports
score
19
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$905
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$24 @ 0.19
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-23.4¢
Edge, worst case
-64.5¢
Closing line value
-22.4¢
size-weighted edge -23.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$905
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.19$5324h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$905333h

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