ForetellerForeteller
HI
Hi3x…QKBarank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-34%
ROI · 7d
-$48
Profit · 7d
13
Markets
Performance · 7d13 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
3
Avg edge / share
+2.4¢
Edge, worst case
-18.1¢
Closing line value
+2.4¢
crypto 3 · 13 callssize-weighted edge -29.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$48
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+101% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired287h
boughtBTC Up@0.51$7287h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$9288h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$8288h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$4288h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired288h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2288h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$22288h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8288h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$32289h

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