ForetellerForeteller
HK
HktN…CLWErank #996
cryptosports
score
38
Follow
-52%
ROI · 7d
-$553
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$1.0k @ 0.18
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-21.4¢
Edge, worst case
-40.6¢
Closing line value
-7.6¢
size-weighted edge -38.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$44
crypto
-$509
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired210h
boughtBTC Up@0.30$77210h
boughtBTC Up@0.42$78210h
soldBTC Up@0.13+$354210h
boughtBTC Up@0.07$94210h
boughtBTC Up@0.18$235210h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$155210h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired211h
boughtBTC Up@0.59$182211h
boughtBTC Up@0.31$46211h

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