ForetellerForeteller
HM
HmwG…HCgJrank #77
cryptosportsother
score
53
Follow
+20%
ROI · 7d
$6
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-5.1¢
Edge, worst case
-26.9¢
Closing line value
-4.2¢
size-weighted edge +1.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$5
sports
+$2
other
-$2
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+589% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2143h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h
boughtBTC Up@0.33$1160h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired196h
boughtBTC Up@0.52$1196h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$1227h
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired233h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired235h
boughtBTC Up@0.07$1235h

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